The rules-based world order is being tested for the first time in a long time when countries with great power ambitions express a desire to divide the world between themselves into different spheres of interest, the Swedish Security Service states in the annual report for 2025–2026.
How do the US's actions affect the security situation, for example when they threaten Greenland and make aggressive statements against allies?
"It affects the security situation. It will be another layer of uncertainty and anxiety that contributes to the uncertainty that exists today," says Fredrik Hallström, chief of operations at Säpo, to TT.
"It is also natural to consider which partner can contribute to the work."
Iranian opposition figures
The war in the Middle East is strengthening the threat from Iran, Säpo assesses.
"We see an increased threat against American and Israeli targets in Sweden, but also against Jews and prominent Iranian opposition figures in Sweden, who are perceived as a threat by the regime in Iran," says Fredrik Hallström.
However, Russia remains the biggest threat according to Säpo, which notes that the regime is more risk-averse than before and warns in particular of hybrid attacks and sabotage.
"So far, Sweden has not been subjected to extensive attempts at attacks or traditional sabotage. But we have seen attempted destructive cyberattacks from Russia," says Security Police Chief Charlotte von Essen at a press conference.
Russia, on the other hand, has carried out sabotage against other countries, and we must be prepared for the possibility that it could happen here as well, says von Essen.
"But we should be careful not to point the finger too early, because then there is a risk that we are playing into Russia's hands, or that we are using our resources incorrectly. And that is not something that benefits us," she says.
Espionage
Säpo's view is that the threat landscape against Sweden will worsen in the coming years, with Russia being the main driving force. Säpo emphasizes the importance of maintaining sanctions against Russia and increasing Swedish resilience, not least with regard to protection against espionage.
"In order for Russia to maintain its military capability, it is completely dependent on products and technology from the West, including Sweden. An incredibly important strategic task, therefore, is that we must do more to make it difficult for Russia to acquire that type of material," says Fredrik Hallström.
